Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000938 0.001076 0.001214 0.001363 0.001518 0.001674 0.001844
2026-02-01 0.000708 0.000904 0.001108 0.001333 0.001574 0.001821 0.002094
2026-02-08 0.000548 0.000786 0.001042 0.001333 0.001650 0.001980 0.002348
2026-02-15 0.000426 0.000695 0.000996 0.001345 0.001732 0.002141 0.002600
2026-02-22 0.000334 0.000627 0.000966 0.001369 0.001822 0.002306 0.002854
2026-03-01 0.000239 0.000542 0.000910 0.001358 0.001869 0.002420 0.003049
2026-03-08 0.000152 0.000453 0.000840 0.001325 0.001886 0.002497 0.003200
2026-03-15 0.000100 0.000401 0.000811 0.001335 0.001949 0.002623 0.003402
2026-03-22 0.000054 0.000344 0.000769 0.001326 0.001987 0.002719 0.003568
2026-03-29 0.000028 0.000311 0.000756 0.001349 0.002060 0.002851 0.003774
2026-04-05 0.000005 0.000265 0.000720 0.001342 0.002096 0.002940 0.003928
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000212 0.000668 0.001312 0.002102 0.002993 0.004042
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000135 0.000581 0.001248 0.002085 0.003039 0.004170
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000085 0.000526 0.001222 0.002113 0.003138 0.004360
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000053 0.000492 0.001224 0.002174 0.003275 0.004592
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000031 0.000469 0.001237 0.002247 0.003425 0.004840
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000016 0.000454 0.001261 0.002333 0.003590 0.005104
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000002 0.000418 0.001251 0.002375 0.003702 0.005306
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000369 0.001218 0.002387 0.003777 0.005464
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000350 0.001229 0.002452 0.003913 0.005691
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000321 0.001220 0.002491 0.004018 0.005880
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000312 0.001243 0.002570 0.004168 0.006121
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.000286 0.001235 0.002608 0.004269 0.006305